The record from 23 October 2026
33 tips since 23 October 2026: 12 won, 20 lost, 1 void, -7.82 points (1 point a tip). Return on stakes -24.4%.
If you’d put $10 on every tip: $330.00 staked, $251.80 back, −$78.20.
- 33 tips on the record
- 12-20-1 won-lost-void
- -7.82 points, 1 a tip
- 38% won
- -24.4% return on stakes
Waiting for a result
US midterms Tue 3 Nov · polls close from 18:00 New York
Race winner
Republicans (David Rouzer)
NC-07 House race
76¢ 1.32 on Kalshi · 74¢ on Polymarket
- Forecasters
- 10 of 10
- Against
- 0
- Polymarket
- 74¢
10 of the 10 forecasters rate it for the Republicans: Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, Split Ticket & 6 more. None rate it for the Democrats.
Logged 30 Oct 08:30, 4 days before the start · 1 point
The record
Lost UK racing 12 Nov 2026 -1.00
Burning Embers
15:01 Market Rasen · 4th of 8, SP 9/2
3/1 4.00 at bet365
running -7.82
Won UK racing 12 Nov 2026 +1.38
Tell The Tale
13:16 Market Rasen · Won, SP 13/8F
11/8 2.38 at bet365
running -6.82
Lost UK racing 11 Nov 2026 -1.00
Jack Dempsey
14:13 Ayr · 3rd of 11, SP 9/4F
11/4 3.75 at bet365
running -8.20
Lost UK racing 11 Nov 2026 -1.00
Stride On
13:10 Ayr · 2nd of 3, SP 2/5F
6/5 2.20 at bet365
running -7.20
Won UK racing 10 Nov 2026 +1.10
Kamille Au Kanada
14:20 Lingfield · Won, SP 10/11F
11/10 2.10 at bet365
running -6.20
Lost Irish racing 10 Nov 2026 -1.00
Ballyfad
14:00 Fairyhouse · 2nd of 12, SP 7/4F
6/4 2.50 at bet365
running -7.30
Lost UK racing 9 Nov 2026 -1.00
Major Fortune
13:40 Stratford · 3rd of 8, SP 7/2
11/4 3.75 at bet365
running -6.30
Lost UK racing 9 Nov 2026 -1.00
Matching Energy
13:20 Carlisle · Fell, SP 7/2
7/2 4.50 at Star Sports
running -5.30
Won UK racing 8 Nov 2026 +2.13
Port Station
15:25 Sandown · Won, SP 9/4F
85/40 3.13 at BetMGM
running -4.30
Lost UK racing 8 Nov 2026 -1.00
White Noise
13:40 Sandown · 4th of 8, SP 5/2F
9/4 3.25 at BetMGM
running -6.43
Lost UK racing 7 Nov 2026 -1.00
Boombawn
15:35 Aintree · Pulled up, SP 5/2F
10/3 4.33 at BetGoodwin
running -5.43
Lost UK racing 7 Nov 2026 -1.00
Nobody Knows
15:25 Doncaster · 5th of 23, SP 3/1JF
4/1 5.00 at Coral
running -4.43
Lost UK racing 6 Nov 2026 -1.00
JPR One
15:00 Aintree · 2nd of 6, SP 11/4
3/1 4.00 at bet365
running -3.43
Won UK racing 6 Nov 2026 +1.88
All In You
13:50 Aintree · Won, SP 6/4F
15/8 2.88 at Unibet
running -2.43
Lost UK racing 5 Nov 2026 -1.00
Prince Of Pillo
18:30 Southwell · 4th of 9, SP 11/4F
11/4 3.75 at bet365
running -4.31
Lost UK racing 5 Nov 2026 -1.00
Splendid Fellow
14:25 Newbury · 3rd of 17, SP 3/1F
10/3 4.34 at BetMGM
running -3.31
Lost UK racing 4 Nov 2026 -1.00
Red Acres Max
12:51 Chepstow · 2nd of 15, SP 5/6F
6/5 2.20 at Betfred
running -2.31
Won UK racing 4 Nov 2026 +1.00
Gingerbred
12:20 Chepstow · Won, SP 10/11F
Evs 2.00 at bet365
running -1.31
Won US midterms 3 Nov 2026 +0.37
Democrats (Troy Jackson)
Maine Senate race · The Democrats won
73¢ 1.37 on Kalshi · 74¢ on Polymarket
running -2.31
Won US midterms 3 Nov 2026 +0.41
Republicans (Sydney Gruters)
FL-16 House race · The Republicans won
71¢ 1.41 on Kalshi · 71¢ on Polymarket
running -2.68
Won US midterms 3 Nov 2026 +0.56
Republicans (Maria Elvira Salazar)
FL-27 House race · The Republicans won
64¢ 1.56 on Kalshi · 62¢ on Polymarket
running -3.09
Lost US midterms 3 Nov 2026 -1.00
Republicans (Richard Hudson)
NC-09 House race · The Republicans lost
64¢ 1.56 on Kalshi · 63¢ on Polymarket
running -3.65
Won US midterms 3 Nov 2026 +0.45
Republicans (Byron Donalds)
Florida governor race · The Republicans won
69¢ 1.45 on Kalshi · 70¢ on Polymarket
running -2.65
Lost US midterms 3 Nov 2026 -1.00
Republicans (Darline Graham)
South Carolina Senate race · The Republicans lost
72¢ 1.39 on Kalshi · 74¢ on Polymarket
running -3.10
Lost US midterms 3 Nov 2026 -1.00
Republicans (Greg Murphy)
NC-03 House race · The Republicans lost
65¢ 1.54 on Kalshi · 64¢ on Polymarket
running -2.10
Lost US midterms 3 Nov 2026 -1.00
Republicans (Brad Knott)
NC-13 House race · The Republicans lost
69¢ 1.45 on Kalshi · 67¢ on Polymarket
running -1.10
Lost US midterms 3 Nov 2026 -1.00
Republicans (Greg Abbott)
Texas governor race · The Republicans lost
66¢ 1.52 on Kalshi · 68.7¢ on Polymarket
running -0.10
Won US midterms 3 Nov 2026 +0.33
Republicans (Phil Scott)
Vermont governor race · The Republicans won
75¢ 1.33 on Kalshi · 75¢ on Polymarket
running +0.90
Won US midterms 3 Nov 2026 +0.32
Republicans (Pete Ricketts)
Nebraska Senate race · The Republicans won
76¢ 1.32 on Kalshi · 74¢ on Polymarket
running +0.57
Lost UK racing 3 Nov 2026 -1.00
Treaty Boy
14:29 Sedgefield · Fell, SP 3/1F
10/3 4.33 at Unibet
running +0.25
Lost Irish racing 3 Nov 2026 -1.00
Bon Bon Fizz
13:45 Fairyhouse · 6th of 15, SP 7/4JF
5/6 1.83 at Betfair Sportsbook
running +1.25
Void UK racing 2 Nov 2026 0.00
Kocktail Bleu
14:30 Plumpton · Non-runner: void, stakes back
9/4 3.25 at Star Sports
running +2.25
Won UK racing 2 Nov 2026 +2.25
Bold Step
13:30 Plumpton · Won, SP 13/8
9/4 3.25 at bet365
running +2.25
The old method
Until 21 October 2026 the tips came from a price machine: it tipped a price it judged wrong against the sharpest market, not a view on who would win. Every one of its tips stays here, with its result.
The price machine, 10 October to 21 October 2026 · 13 tips ▾
Beat the closing price on 8 of 12 tips, by +2.1% on average. 13 tips since 10 October 2026: 5 won, 8 lost, -2.93 points (1 point a tip).
If you’d put $10 on every tip: $130.00 staked, $100.70 back, −$29.30.
Won NBA 21 Oct 2026 +1.00
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies · Memphis Grizzlies 123-103 Utah Jazz
2.00 +100 at 888sport
running -2.93
Won NBA 21 Oct 2026 +1.10
Charlotte Hornets to win
Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets · Brooklyn Nets 103-110 Charlotte Hornets
2.10 +110 at Sky Bet
running -3.93
Won NBA 21 Oct 2026 +0.98
Washington Wizards -4.5 (spread)
Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards · Washington Wizards 128-116 Milwaukee Bucks
1.98 -102 at DraftKings
running -5.03
Lost NHL 20 Oct 2026 -1.00
Vancouver Canucks +1.5 (puck line)
Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks · Vancouver Canucks 3-6 Carolina Hurricanes
2.10 +110 at ESPN BET
running -6.01
Lost NBA 20 Oct 2026 -1.00
San Antonio Spurs -1.5 (spread)
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs · San Antonio Spurs 104-116 Oklahoma City Thunder
2.00 +100 at ESPN BET
running -5.01
Lost NHL 20 Oct 2026 -1.00
Winnipeg Jets to win
Winnipeg Jets at St Louis Blues · St Louis Blues 2-1 Winnipeg Jets
2.24 +124 at DraftKings
running -4.01
Lost NFL 18 Oct 2026 -1.00
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 (spread)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19-26 Pittsburgh Steelers
2.10 +110 at 888sport
running -3.01
Lost Champions League 14 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 3.5 goals
ŠK Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart · ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart
1.93 -108 at BetRivers
running -2.01
Won NHL 13 Oct 2026 +1.04
Colorado Avalanche to win
Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars · Dallas Stars 2-3 Colorado Avalanche
2.04 +104 at FanDuel
running -1.01
Lost NFL 12 Oct 2026 -1.00
Under 54.5 points
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams · Los Angeles Rams 34-37 Buffalo Bills
1.98 -102 at DraftKings
running -2.05
Won NHL 12 Oct 2026 +0.95
Buffalo Sabres to win
Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres · Buffalo Sabres 5-3 Florida Panthers
1.95 -105 at Caesars
running -1.05
Lost NFL 11 Oct 2026 -1.00
Under 43.5 points
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers · Pittsburgh Steelers 34-22 Indianapolis Colts
2.00 +100 at ESPN BET
running -2.00
Lost NHL 10 Oct 2026 -1.00
Columbus Blue Jackets to win
Columbus Blue Jackets at St Louis Blues · St Louis Blues 5-3 Columbus Blue Jackets
2.18 +118 at Paddy Power
running -1.00
4 to 7 October 2026 · 4 tips ▾
The four NHL totals here were priced on a 60-minute line, against a fair price that counts overtime. Fixed on 7 October.
4 tips since 4 October 2026: 0 won, 4 lost, -4.00 points (1 point a tip).
If you’d put $10 on every tip: $40.00 staked, $0.00 back, −$40.00.
Lost NHL 6 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 6.5 goals
Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres · Buffalo Sabres 3-2 Minnesota Wild
2.32 +132 at Casumo
running -4.00
Lost NHL 5 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 6.5 goals
San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars · Dallas Stars 5-0 San Jose Sharks
2.23 +123 at LiveScore Bet
running -3.00
Lost NHL 5 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 6.5 goals
Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins · Pittsburgh Penguins 2-3 Winnipeg Jets
2.18 +118 at Grosvenor
running -2.00
Lost NHL 4 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 6.5 goals
Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks · Anaheim Ducks 3-2 Florida Panthers
2.12 +112 at Grosvenor
running -1.00
The first week, 27 September to 3 October 2026 · 31 tips ▾
The five NHL totals here were priced on a 60-minute line, against a fair price that counts overtime. Fixed on 7 October.
Beat the closing price on 11 of 26 tips, by -2.0% on average. 31 tips since 27 September 2026: 9 won, 21 lost, 1 void, -3.17 points (1 point a tip).
If you’d put $10 on every tip: $310.00 staked, $278.30 back, −$31.70.
Lost NHL 4 Oct 2026 -1.00
Vancouver Canucks to win
Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks · Vancouver Canucks 2-3 Vegas Golden Knights
3.02 +202 at FanDuel
running -3.17
Won College football 3 Oct 2026 +3.00
San Diego State Aztecs to win
Texas State Bobcats at San Diego State Aztecs · San Diego State Aztecs 31-29 Texas State Bobcats
4.00 +300 at BetRivers
running -2.17
Lost NHL 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
St Louis Blues to win
St Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche · Colorado Avalanche 6-1 St Louis Blues
3.50 +250 at Paddy Power
running -5.17
Lost College football 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
Washington Huskies to win
Washington Huskies at USC Trojans · USC Trojans 25-21 Washington Huskies
4.25 +325 at Hard Rock Bet
running -4.17
Lost NHL 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 6.5 goals
Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers · Edmonton Oilers 3-1 Seattle Kraken
2.18 +118 at Grosvenor
running -3.17
Won NHL 3 Oct 2026 +1.25
Over 6.5 goals
Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins · Pittsburgh Penguins 6-5 Montréal Canadiens
2.25 +125 at Virgin Bet
running -2.17
Won NHL 3 Oct 2026 +1.32
Over 6.5 goals
Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres · Buffalo Sabres 4-3 Chicago Blackhawks
2.32 +132 at Casumo
running -3.42
Lost College football 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
TCU Horned Frogs to win
BYU Cougars at TCU Horned Frogs · TCU Horned Frogs 10-17 BYU Cougars
3.10 +210 at ESPN BET
running -4.74
Won College football 3 Oct 2026 +3.35
Purdue Boilermakers to win
Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini · Illinois Fighting Illini 17-24 Purdue Boilermakers
4.35 +335 at Bally Bet
running -3.74
Lost MLB 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
Atlanta Braves to win
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers 5-3 Atlanta Braves
2.85 +185 at Casumo
running -7.09
Won College football 3 Oct 2026 +1.45
NC State Wolfpack to win
Louisville Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack · NC State Wolfpack 31-28 Louisville Cardinals
2.45 +145 at Hard Rock Bet
running -6.09
Lost College football 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
Michigan State Spartans to win
Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers · Wisconsin Badgers 31-3 Michigan State Spartans
4.20 +320 at ESPN BET
running -7.54
Lost League Two 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
Cheltenham Town to win
Accrington Stanley v Cheltenham Town · Accrington Stanley 2-0 Cheltenham Town
2.80 +180 at LiveScore Bet
running -6.54
Lost League One 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
The draw
Leyton Orient v Plymouth Argyle · Leyton Orient 0-2 Plymouth Argyle
4.00 +300 at Sky Bet
running -5.54
Lost League Two 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
The draw
Exeter City v Rotherham United · Exeter City 1-0 Rotherham United
3.60 +260 at Sky Bet
running -4.54
Lost League Two 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
The draw
Crewe Alexandra v Bristol Rovers · Crewe Alexandra 3-1 Bristol Rovers
3.70 +270 at Sky Bet
running -3.54
Lost League Two 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
Newport County to win
Gillingham v Newport County · Gillingham 0-0 Newport County
3.65 +265 at LiveScore Bet
running -2.54
Lost League One 3 Oct 2026 -1.00
Burton Albion to win
Burton Albion v Huddersfield Town · Burton Albion 1-3 Huddersfield Town
4.00 +300 at Betfair Sportsbook
running -1.54
Void League Two 3 Oct 2026 0.00
Crawley Town to win
Walsall v Crawley Town · void by the editor: cancelled or postponed
4.75 +375 at LiveScore Bet
running -0.54
Won NHL 2 Oct 2026 +1.10
Over 6.5 goals
Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights · Vegas Golden Knights 3-4 Anaheim Ducks
2.10 +110 at Casumo
running -0.54
Lost EuroLeague 2 Oct 2026 -1.00
FC Bayern München to win
FC Bayern München v KK Partizan NIS · FC Bayern München 84-86 KK Partizan NIS
1.58 -172 at Unibet
running -1.64
Lost NHL 1 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 6.5 goals
Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks · San Jose Sharks 4-3 Florida Panthers
2.30 +130 at Casumo
running -0.64
Lost NHL 1 Oct 2026 -1.00
Vancouver Canucks to win
Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks · Vancouver Canucks 7-9 Edmonton Oilers
2.80 +180 at Bally Bet
running +0.36
Lost NHL 1 Oct 2026 -1.00
Chicago Blackhawks to win
Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth · Utah Mammoth 6-0 Chicago Blackhawks
2.77 +177 at Paddy Power
running +1.36
Won WNBA 1 Oct 2026 +1.06
Under 181.5 points
Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces · Las Vegas Aces 94-83 Indiana Fever
2.06 +106 at Grosvenor
running +2.36
Lost NHL 1 Oct 2026 -1.00
Philadelphia Flyers to win
Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils · New Jersey Devils 3-2 Philadelphia Flyers
2.40 +140 at Betfair Sportsbook
running +1.30
Won EuroLeague 1 Oct 2026 +3.50
Virtus Segafredo Bologna to win
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Olympiacos · Virtus Segafredo Bologna 96-94 Olympiacos
4.50 +350 at FanDuel
running +2.30
Lost EuroLeague 1 Oct 2026 -1.00
Over 168.5 points
KK Crvena zvezda v Anadolu Efes · KK Crvena zvezda 77-72 Anadolu Efes
2.00 +100 at 888sport
running -1.20
Lost EuroLeague 1 Oct 2026 -1.00
Under 175.5 points
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Real Madrid · Hapoel Tel Aviv 102-98 Real Madrid
2.00 +100 at 888sport
running -0.20
Won NFL 28 Sep 2026 +1.80
Chicago Bears to win
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears · Chicago Bears 27-7 Philadelphia Eagles
2.80 +180 at Coral
running +0.80
Lost NFL 27 Sep 2026 -1.00
Arizona Cardinals to win
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers · San Francisco 49ers 36-30 Arizona Cardinals
4.35 +335 at BetRivers
running -1.00
How the tips are made
From 23 October 2026 a tip is a pick the published experts agree on. We read them every day & tip only where they line up. Each tip says who picked it.
- UK & Irish racing: the newspaper tipsters’ naps (the Racing Post naps table), each horse’s newspaper tips in its race & the day’s other published racing tips. A horse is tipped when several tipsters make it their nap.
- Football & US sports: the published picks of named experts & expert panels, CBS Sports’ among them. A game is tipped when several publications pick the same side & few pick the other.
- US elections on the prediction markets: the race ratings of the forecasters (the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, Split Ticket & the others). A race is tipped when most of them rate it for the same party & few or none for the other. The price is Kalshi’s (a US exchange regulated by the CFTC), before its trading fee, & Polymarket’s must agree with it within 4¢ (every tip shows both). Graded on the markets’ own settlement: a contract that settles Yes earns the price less 1 point.
- The Fed, US data & elections abroad on the prediction markets: the economists’ poll for a Fed decision (with CME FedWatch), the economists’ consensus forecast for a GDP or CPI release, & the latest polls for an election with two candidates left. A contest is tipped when the experts clearly agree: two thirds of the economists or more, a consensus that clears the market’s line, or every recent poll with the same candidate ahead. Priced & graded like the elections.
- Every pick is checked against the page that published it. A pick we can’t find on its page is never counted.
- The price is the best at a licensed bookmaker when the tip is logged, confirmed by a second bookmaker. A price that has collapsed, or a line that has moved past the experts’ own, is not tipped.
- Each tip is logged here & in the Telegram channel before its event starts, with the time, the price & the bookmaker. 1 point each.
- Graded from the official results: a win earns the price less 1 point, a loss costs 1 point, & a non-runner or a cancelled or postponed event is void. Racing results are read from two results services, every racing result shows its starting price, & a win is paid as a bookmaker pays it, less any Rule 4 deduction & divided in a dead heat.
- Nothing is deleted. The record is every tip since the first one.
18+. Tips are information, not advice: a pick the experts agree on still loses often, & past results do not predict the next ones. Bet only with a licensed bookmaker where betting is legal for you, & only what you can afford to lose. Help & safer gambling. Updated 12 Nov 2026, 13:40 New York.