The first tips are on their way. Every tip is logged here before its event starts, & stays here, won or lost.
Waiting for a result
| Starts (New York) | Tip | Price | On the record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 27 Sep · 16:05 | Arizona Cardinals to win Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers |
4.35 (+335) at BetRivers good to 4.14 · fair price 4.06 · edge +7% |
logged 27 Sep 07:00 |
How the tips are made
- Prices from The Odds API: the head-to-head market at every bookmaker it lists in the US, the UK & Europe.
- The fair price comes from the sharpest prices on the market, with their margin taken out: Pinnacle’s, or the betting exchanges’ (Betfair, Matchbook, Smarkets) where Pinnacle has none. No sharp price, no tip. At least 8 bookmakers must price the event.
- A tip is an outcome whose best price at a licensed US or UK sportsbook beats the fair price by 3% to 12% (a bigger gap is usually news the price has not caught up with, or bad data), at odds between 1.50 & 5.00, made at least 90 minutes before the start. At most 3 a day, 1 point each.
- Each tip gives the lowest price still worth taking (“good to”): 2% above the fair price.
- Each tip is logged here & in the Telegram channel before its event starts, with the time, the price & the sportsbook.
- The closing price: in the last minutes before the start the fair price is read again. Closing line value is how much the tip’s price beat it; over a few hundred tips it shows whether the tips find real value, long before the points can.
- Graded from the official results: a win pays the price less 1 point, a loss costs 1 point, a cancelled or postponed event is void.
- Nothing is deleted. The record is every tip since the first one.
18+. Tips are information, not advice: a price with an edge still loses often, & past results do not predict the next ones. Bet only with a licensed sportsbook where betting is legal for you, & only what you can afford to lose. Help & safer gambling. Updated 27 Sep 2026, 07:00 New York.